Conventional wisdom is not always right

Let’s take a quick look at 401(k) loans.   Some people are not aware of this, but if you have a 401(k) retirement account you can borrow money from yourself.   You can take out a loan from your own retirement account for pretty much any reason.   The rules about how much you can borrow and how soon it needs to be paid back are a little different for mortgages on your primary residence, but let’s stick with the more usual case for now.

You can borrow up to half of the value of your 401(k), or a maximum of $50,000.   Interest rates are fixed and generally pretty low, and the loan term cannot exceed five years.   The loan must be repaid by payroll deduction, and this leads to the first potential   “gotcha”…   if you leave your job or get laid off, the entire loan balance is due and payable within 90 days.   If you can’t pay it off in 90 days, it’s treated as an early withdrawal from your 401(k) and there are some pretty unpleasant tax implications — not to mention the money doesn’t go back into your retirement account as it should.   So, in general you really only want to consider a 401(k) loan if your employment situation is stable, and/or if you have the cash reserve or other assets (like a stock brokerage account) you could liquidate to pay the loan off within a couple of months if you have to.   If you decide to change jobs while you have an outstanding 401(k) loan, you’ll need to figure out how to take care of that because loan repayments have to be deducted from your current employer’s payroll.

So, the convention wisdom, the advice you will usually hear, is that 401(k) loans are a bad, bad idea.   All kinds of analysis and predictions of financial doom are easy to find, and all seem to make some basic assumptions.   The most consistent assumptions seem to be that you’re desperate for the money, and that while repaying the loan you’re not going to be contributing to your retirement plan.   That of course means you lose any employer matching funds.   A lot of the advice I’ve read also assumes you’re making some kind of mad return on your 401(k) investments — something which just has not held true lately, though the days of 10%-plus returns may return before long.   If you don’t meet those assumptions, though, you can make it into a pretty good deal.

Let’s assume you have a couple of car loans, which you’re paying on schedule.   Let’s also assume that you have about $40K between the two, and are paying around 5.99% as seems to be about average now.   Your two car payments add up to a little over $900 per month, and all the interest is of course going to your lender.   Now let’s assume you could:

  • Drop $300 a month off your payments
  • Get a lower interest rate
  • Get the car loan balances off your credit report
  • Show both loans as paid in full
  • Have clear title to your vehicles
  • Give yourself all of the interest on the loans from now on

Sounds pretty good, right?   Enter the 401(k) loan.   This can work out very well, assuming you don’t stop contributing to your retirement plan while you’re paying off the loan.   Keep contributing what you have been; certainly enough to at least get your employer’s full matching contributions.   All of the monthly principle and interest on your loan goes directly back into your 401(k).   The interest rate is usually lower that what you’re already paying on your car loans — and what do you care what the interest rate is, anyway?   In fact, a higher interest rate can work in your favor!   It’s all going into your own retirement account.

If your 401(k) investments are doing significantly better than the interest rate on your loan then, yes, you’re losing a little bit of investment income that you might otherwise have.   It may or may not equal or exceed the money you’re paying your lender in the form of interest.   Your individual rate of return can tell you that; if it’s more than the rate you’re paying on your car loan and what you’d pay on the 401(k) loan, you may want to think about whether the other aspects make it worthwhile or not.   And, yes, there is a little risk of things going south if you lose your job and can’t pay off the full amount of the loan.   Even that’s not a crushing blow, though — you still have unencumbered title to your vehicle(s), and there is no adverse credit report information, no collection agency.   You simply pay the tax penalty on an early withdrawal from your 401(k).

So the next time you’re looking at financing a car or other major purchase, you might want to do a little research.   See if a 401(k) loan is a good idea for you or not.   Don’t blindly take anyone’s advice — mine included — without doing your own research and running the numbers.

The smell of fresh Gingerbread

Well, I finally – at long last – got my Droid 2 Global updated to Android 2.3, also known as Gingerbread.   Due to having installed a root app and a few other changes, it took a few tries.   I finally had to load the stock factory SBF image onto the phone, which thankfully doesn’t seem to have wiped any of my data.   After that Gingerbread installed just fine, and I’m enjoying the new look and a few different features.

One little issue that has been something of an a irritant since I started using Android…   the dialer/contact list.   With 2.2 (Froyo) you’d hit either the dialer or the contacts icon, and the dialer would pop up showing either the dialer (dial pad) or your contact list – whichever you used last.   A little annoying.   In 2.3 it acts exactly the same way.   I have an icon for Dialer and an icon for Contacts.   If I hit Contacts, it brings up my contact list.   If I exit that and hit Dialer, it brings up my contact list again – and I have to switch to the dial pad.   After switching, the next time I hit the Contacts icon it’s back to the contact list again.   So…   why does Contacts always bring up the contact list, but Dialer doesn’t always bring up the dial pad?   It just feels like a stupid little oversight.   Overall, though, I like the new look, and there are a lot of little changes that just give it a little bit of an improved “feel”.

It’s got me wondering how long I’ll have to wait for Ice Cream Sandwich

 

Migration time

I’m going to start moving my old web pages under the WordPress blog.   Over to the right side you’ll see a list of “Pages”, which is where the content will show up.   It’s going to take a while, but I really do need to move some of the old stuff over.   Of course if I find out I can still use the copy of Frontpage I’ve got installed down on the PC in the basement, I may change my mind and just link to those instead.

In other words, this is all extremely experimental at this point.

Why I’m Leaving GoDaddy

There are a couple of reasons why I’m migrating off of GoDaddy’s virtual dedicated hosting service.

For one thing, I’m really not all that happy with GD to begin with.   While they haven’t done anything lately that has massively pissed me off, they have done so before.   Like when they claimed they had backups of my web hosting account stuff.   Well, they did, sort of.   When I needed it, they wanted to charge me $149 and it would take them two weeks to restore the data.   ‘Scuse me?   They should be able to rebuild an entire data center in two weeks.   Come on.   Then there was the time I contacted their tech support (and I do use that term loosely).   My virtual dedicated server (their term for a VM) was sputtering and dying, logging thousands of “NIC_NL waiting binding to NETLINK_ISCSI socket” errors.   Turns out their host machine was having problems which apparently went undetected for weeks.   It seems they didn’t even know it until I emailed their tech support.   Then they gave me some bullshit song and dance about “This process is most likely used for an internal purposes and unfortunately due to security reasons we are unable to go more in depth on this process.”   I suspect that means, “We don’t know what it was, so we rebooted the host and it went away”.   I don’t know.   I suspect they don’t either.   It really bothers me, though, that they apparently have no monitoring in place to tell them when things start going south.   I just wonder how many people on the same host wiped and re-imaged their VMs trying to fix the problem.  

Then there is the cost.   I have found what appears to be a very good hosting provider that charges 1/3 less per month, and their add-on services like extra bandwidth and disk space – should I ever need them — are FAR less expensive.   They also don’t treat their customers like complete imbeciles, and their web site is not a constant barrage of upsell that makes it hard to get to the stuff you’re paying for.  Anyway, I’m switching over to Linode.   The prepaid domain registrations and stuff will stay with GD for now, but I have zero allegiance to them – so if someone else has a better deal for domain registration when mine start to expire, I’ll yank that business from them as well.

 

“What, you’re not on Facebook?”

Man…   I get this question from time to time, and it’s tough to restrain myself from going off on a minor rant.   Sometimes I don’t succeed.   So, I’m going to spell it out here, and never speak of it again.   I hope.

I have a number of problems with Facebook and other so-called “social networking” sites — Twitter, Myspace, and whatever new thing Google is throwing into the mix this week.   Some of these issues extend to so-called “cloud” services like Picasa, Google Docs and the hundreds of similar “Give us your stuff, we’ll take care of it for you” businesses.   Most of the issues I have revolve around three major points:

  1. Privacy.   Regardless of what you may think, Facebook and other sites are not secure.   There are fairly regular and major incidents involving privacy breeches involving Facebook and similar sites.   YOU may not always be able to get to your stuff (see below), your friends might not be able to, but you can bet that people you don’t want to will have access to it all from time to time — and you don’t know when, or how much of it.   If you bother to read the terms of service that you agree to (and which gets changed from time to time), you will see that you’re giving these people the right to use everything — your name, pictures, video and everything else — forever — however they see fit.   When they need a new revenue stream, where do you think that’s going to go?
  2. Information overkill.   Do we really need to know every random thought that passes through the head of every person you’ve ever known, and quite a few you don’t know?   How many examples of Facebook-spawned fights, feuds and divorces have there been?   It’s said that absence makes the heart grow fonder.   It can certainly provide the distance needed to maintain civility with people you don’t need (or want) to see or talk to every day.
  3. Security of data.   This pertains to social networking sites to some degree, but even more to the so-called “cloud” and other on line services.   Keep your stuff on storage media that you own and control.   Want to make sure you have copies of all your pictures and video?   Better keep it on CD, DVD, portable drives, whatever.   Keep backups.   Spitting it out to some web based service may be quick and easy, but in the end you have absolutely no control over what happens to it, nor any guarantee that it will be there when you want it.

So, no, I’m not on Facebook.   And I’m OK with that.

Catching up on reading

I’m reading Brave New World…   somehow I managed to make it all the way through junior high and high school without having to read it.   Ditto for Animal Farm, although I believe I did read 1984.   It’s somewhat dated, but so far fairly interesting.   Always entertaining to read something that tries to predict the future state of the world, from 40 or more years back.   In the case of Brave New World, for example, there is virtually no mention of computers or personal communications devices (phones, etc) which would be an enormous part of any future world.   Of course Huxley would have had no way of foreseeing this in ’32.

One of these days I’ll finish reading John Adams, I think I made if about 2/3 of the way through.

 

Another WordPress hack

This time some jackass(es) uploaded changes to several popular WP plug-ins that provided back door access to servers on which they were installed. Yet another reason to assume control of (and responsibility for) your own systems. I also try not to jump immediately on new updates of plugins and new software versions. The way I figure it, your chances of updating to a hacked version of something is reduced dramatically if you wait a few days or weeks after an update is released. It’s one reason I like to be informed of available updates, but not automatically have them installed — and I don’t want to be nagged (Avast, Adobe, Nikon…).

CNC to the rescue!

I’ve got a big box of very expensive parts that all need to be modified due to a screw-up in a circuit board I had made. Tossing either the boxes or the boards is out of the question. I can fix the cabinets with a file, but doing so takes a lot of time and does some nerve damage to my fingers.

Enter the CNC machine. I bought a 1/32″ end mill and wrote a short program to shave exactly the right amount of metal from each hole that needs fixing. Now I can do one cabinet every 4 minutes, every one of them is perfect, and it’s far less stressful on the operator (me). The only trade-off it that it’s pretty noisy, between the CMC machine and the shop vac to suck up all the metal shavings.

I love this machine… 🙂

Class actions

I got a post card in the mail today about yet another class action lawsuit.   This time it’s Sirius XM.   Apparently some people (probably former XM customers) were upset that Sirius bought XM, then raised their prices.   Well, yeah.   It’s a time honored tradition.   You buy up your competition, become king of the hill, and charge what you want.   Or sometimes you buy up your competition because they were close to going  under anyway, and raise your prices so you don’t follow them down the hole.   So of course they got sued for anti-trust violations, and agreed to a settlement.

Naturally the customers who were affected got…   nothing, squat, dick.   Not that I care; it  didn’t affect me in the slightest.   The settlement terms basically say that groups of customers can renew their subscriptions  at the current rate, people who dropped their subscription can renew without a reactivation fee, and no one gets any cash.   Except, of course, the lawyers who will without a shadow of doubt get their hefty portion of the estimated $180 million in settlement valuation.   And of course Sirius XM might possibly get a bunch of subscribers back.   It’s like the Blockbuster class action settlements…   millions of people got coupons for a buck or two, to be used the next time they rented from Blockbuster.   I bet they (Blockbuster) really felt the sting from that!

What an incredible victory for the consumer.   Or maybe everyone but the consumer.   Class action lawsuits seem to be a are pretty good business to be in if you’re a lawyer, and if you’re a cagey defendant you can twist it around to your advantage.   In the end the only people who get screwed are the customers, who have to bear the cost of the whole sideshow.